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Makale Tam Makale Uluslararası 2011

A Comparison Of Anfıs And Arıma Techniques In The Forecasting Of Electric Energy Consumption Of Tokat Province In Turkey

RÜŞTÜ YAYAR, MAHMUT HEKİM, VEYSEL YILMAZ, Fehim Bakırcı

Journal of Economic and Social Studies Cilt 1 · Sayı 2 · Makale no 2926735 · ss. 87–112 · 01.01.2011
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Özet

In this study, the electric energy demand of Tokat province was estimated by means of ANFIS and ARIMA techniques. Seven different forecasting experiments were implemented for the subscriber groups and the consumption of electric energy which is the dependent variable. The electric energy demand of the province for the first six months of the year 2011 was estimated by means of ANFIS and ARIMA techniques. The obtained results were compared and interpreted in order to illustrate the forecasting success of these techniques. We showed that the ANFIS is more appropriate than the ARIMA in point of the forecasting of electric consumption.

Anahtar kelimeler

Forecasting Electric energy consumption ANFIS ARIMA and Tokat

Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları

  • SKA 7: Erişilebilir ve Temiz Enerji

Atıf için künye

YAYAR, R., HEKİM, M., YILMAZ, V., & Bakırcı, F. (2011). A Comparison Of Anfıs And Arıma Techniques In The Forecasting Of Electric Energy Consumption Of Tokat Province In Turkey. Journal of Economic and Social Studies, 1(2), 87–112. https://doi.org/10.14706/jecoss11124

BibTeX
@article{yayar2011-109956,
  author = {YAYAR, RÜŞTÜ and HEKİM, MAHMUT and YILMAZ, VEYSEL and Bakırcı, Fehim},
  title = {A Comparison Of Anfıs And Arıma Techniques In The Forecasting Of Electric Energy Consumption Of Tokat Province In Turkey},
  journal = {Journal of Economic and Social Studies},
  year = {2011},
  volume = {1},
  number = {2},
  pages = {87--112},
  issn = {1986-8499},
  doi = {10.14706/jecoss11124},
  url = {https://akademik.atauni.edu.tr/yayinlar/109956-a-comparison-of-anfis-and-arima-techniques-in-the-forecasting-of-electric-energy}
}