language Türkçe
Article 2025 · 2 citations

Microbiological safety assessment of Mediterranean mussels (<i>Mytilus galloprovincialis</i>) in Cala Iris Bay, Northern Morocco: a modeling approach for predicting <i>Escherichia coli</i> survival

Ngadi, Hamza, Layachi, Mostafa, Azizi, Ghizlane, El Yousfi, Yassine, Esseffar, Sara, Baghour, Mourad, Ercisli, Sezai, Radovic, Mirjana, Moumen, Abdelmajid, Kader, Shuraik

Abstract

Mediterranean mussels (Mytilus galloprovincialis) are filter feeders that can accumulate bacteria, including Escherichia coli, presenting potential health risks. This study assesses the microbiological safety of mussels from offshore farms in Cala Iris Bay, Northern Morocco. The objectives were to evaluate E. coli levels and detect Salmonella in mussels, ensure compliance with Moroccan sanitary regulations, and develop a predictive model for E. coli survival to inform management decisions. A total of 72 mussel samples were collected from three stations in Cala Iris Bay over a 12-month period, covering all seasons. Standard microbiological methods were used to enumerate E. coli and detect Salmonella. Two models, the classical primary model and the Weibull model, were used to predict E. coli survival. Model performance was evaluated using root mean square error (RMSE), adjusted correlation coefficient (R2 adj), and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). 80.5% of the samples met the safety standards defined by Moroccan Circular Number 1508/12, while 19.5% required further treatment. The Weibull model provided a more accurate prediction of E. coli survival compared to the classical primary model. The study underscores the necessity of continuous monitoring and effective modeling in ensuring the microbiological safety of mussels. The Weibull model proved to be a valuable tool for predicting E. coli survival, aiding in the management of aquaculture practices. This research contributes to the broader field of food safety and aquaculture management, offering insights that can guide decision-making and enhance public health standards in seafood production.

Keywords
<italic>Mytilus galloprovincialis</italic> Cala Iris Bay <italic>Escherichia coli</italic> Salmonella Classical primary model Weibull model Morocco FECAL INDICATOR BACTERIA LISTERIA-MONOCYTOGENES ENVIRONMENTAL-FACTORS MICROBIAL SURVIVAL WATERS INACTIVATION TEMPERATURE SALMONELLA SALINITY MARCHICA
WoS Categories
Environmental Sciences
Sustainable Development Goals
Citation
Journal
EURO-MEDITERRANEAN JOURNAL FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INTEGRATION
Year
2025
Volume
10
Issue
1
Pages
395-408
ISSN
2365-6433
eISSN
2365-7448
DOI
10.1007/s41207-024-00699-6
WoS UID
WOS:001366647000001
Open via DOI