Article 2026 · 0 citations

Spillover effects of climate risks on stock markets: A sectoral analysis

Celik, Ali Kemal, Yalcinkaya, Omer, Soylemez, Yakup, Cavlak, Hakan

Abstract

This study highlights the heterogeneity of climate risk across sectors by analyzing the spillover effects of global climate risks-distinguished as physical and transition risks-on sectoral stock markets in the US using quantile vector autoregression (QVAR) and spillover indices. The quantitative analysis, based on evidence from the S&P 500 and its subsector indices, identifies strong contagion effects observed in both the lower and upper quantiles, revealing that climate risks have acquired systemic characteristics. The findings indicate that climate risks have become a key determinant of financial stability not only during crisis periods but also under all market conditions, and that the sensitivity across sectors varies considerably.

Keywords

Spillover QVAR Climate risk Physical risk Transition risk Stock markets

WoS Categories

Business, Finance

Citation

Journal: FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS
Year: 2026
Volume: 93
ISSN: 1544-6123
eISSN: 1544-6131
DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109633
WoS UID: WOS:001692428300001

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