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Article 2021 · 0 citations

The impact of fundamental uncertainties on economic growth

Yalcinkaya, Omer, Celik, Ali Kemal

Abstract

This paper addresses the impact of fundamental (economic, political and geopolitical) uncertainties on GDP growth of the world's largest 20 economies (W-20) using the Cobb-Douglas total production function within the scope of the second-generation panel data methodology for 1990-2016. The aim of the paper is to explore whether these uncertainties lead to a contractionary impact on growth as suggested by the economic theory. The estimation results revealed that indeed this was the case. Our results also indicate that the global uncertainties led the economic growth rates of the selected countries to perform below their exact potential since the 2008 global economic crisis and to fail to attain an expected recovery during the process.

Keywords
economic political and geopolitical uncertainty sustainability of economic growth second generation panel data analysis
WoS Categories
Economics
Sustainable Development Goals
Citation
Journal
ACTA OECONOMICA
Year
2021
Volume
71
Issue
2
Pages
213-234
ISSN
0001-6373
eISSN
1588-2659
DOI
10.1556/032.2021.00011
WoS UID
WOS:000665499500003
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